Full Crucible Report
Combined introduction, Project 1 through Project 4, Epilogue, Closing Synthesis, and appendices.
Reports and data
The archive behind the interface.
The public site should invite exploration first, then provide serious material for readers who want to verify the study. This page is the archive doorway: reports, methods, workbooks, and query packages.
Primary reports
Project 1 — Baseline
Baseline Crucible study report: single-world and founding-condition evidence.
Project 2 — Competition
Competition study report: duel conditions, interaction pressure, and survivor selection.
Project 3 — Evolution
Evolution study report: LLM-designed lineages, redesign phases, and adaptive outcomes.
Project 4 — Bombs
Bombs study report: extreme shock phases and post-shock survivor dynamics.
Epilogue
Epilogue report: Ares, natural network collapse, 80k extensions, and climate-reservoir projections.
Analysis workbooks
These workbooks contain query results, closeout analysis, and supporting data behind the project reports and epoch-viewer summaries.
| Study area | Workbook | Link |
|---|---|---|
| Project 1 — Baseline query sets | Set A query results Project1_SetA_Query_Results.xlsx |
Download XLSX |
| Set B query results Project1_SetB_Query_Results.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Set C query results Project1_SetC_Query_Results.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Combined A/D/E query results Project1_SetADE_Query_Results.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Project 2 — Competition | Project 2 query results workbook Crucible Project 2 Query Results.xlsx |
Download XLSX |
| Project 3 — Evolution | Project 3 Phase 1 analysis workbook Crucible Project 3 Phase 1 Analysis.xlsx |
Download XLSX |
| Project 3 Phase 2 closeout workbook project3_phase2_closeout.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Project 3 final analysis data Project3_Final_Analysis_data.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Project 4 — Bombs | Project 4 Phase 1 analysis data Project 4 Phase 1 Analysis Data.xlsx |
Download XLSX |
| Project 4 Phase 1 analysis data B Project 4 Phase 1 Analysis DataB.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Project 4 Phase 3 nuclear-only analysis data Project 4 Phase 3 Nuclear-Only Analysis Data.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Project 4 Phase 4 all-bombs analysis data Project 4 Phase 4 All-Bombs Analysis Data.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Epilogue — Ares, collapse, and climate reservoir | Ares 181–190 persistent-table SQL query workbook ares_181_190_sql_queries_persistent_table.xlsx |
Download XLSX |
| Ares 191–200 network-collapse SQL query workbook ares_191_200_network_collapse_sql_queries.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Epilogue 201–210 80k SQL query workbook epilogue_201_210_80k_sql_queries.xlsx |
Download XLSX | |
| Climate-reservoir 231–240 workbook climate_reservoir_231_240_workbook.xlsx |
Download XLSX |
Credibility layer
How runs work
Describe epochs, pulses, founder designs, world engine stages, events, and archive logic.
What is recorded
Population, energy, regimes, mortality, interaction, regional history, climate, and survivor summaries.
What not to claim
The Crucible is an experimental world, not a calibrated forecast or a direct model of real societies.
Archive structure
| Folder | Contents |
|---|---|
| /reports/ | Full report, individual project reports, Epilogue report, and XLSX analysis workbooks. |
| /assets/reports/ | Fallback location supported by this page if report files are stored with the rest of the site assets. |
| /api/ | Dynamic endpoints for epoch summaries, time series, maps, tribes, and viewer-side data. |