Reports and data

The archive behind the interface.

Below is the full detailed study report and the individual project reports of the 2026 Crucible. You can also download the analysis data sets used in the creation of the reports.

Primary reports

DOWNLOADS

Full Crucible Report

Combined introduction, Project 1 through Project 4, Epilogue, Closing Synthesis, and appendices.

Open Report

General History

Compact chronological history of the formal 2026 Crucible study epochs, organized by project and phase.

Open Report

Project and Set Descriptions

Short reference guide to the major projects, sets, and experimental blocks used across the study.

Open Report

Project 1 — Baseline

Baseline Crucible study report: single-world and founding-condition evidence.

Open Report

Project 2 — Competition

Competition study report: duel conditions, interaction pressure, and survivor selection.

Open Report

Project 3 — Evolution

Evolution study report: LLM-designed lineages, redesign phases, and adaptive outcomes.

Open Report

Project 4 — Bombs

Bombs study report: extreme shock phases and post-shock survivor dynamics.

Open Report

Epilogue

Epilogue report: Ares, natural network collapse, 80k extensions, and climate-reservoir projections.

Open Report

Tribe design prompts

PROMPT_ARCHIVE

These prompt documents preserve the design requests used to create the first LLM tribes, the Project 3 upgrade generations, and the human-directed biologic controls.

First-round LLM tribe design request

The original design request used to collect first-generation LLM tribe designs.

Open Report

Project 3 upgrade request

The redesign request used for later Project 3 upgrade rounds.

Open Report

Biologic control design request

The human-directed design request used for the biologic control tribes.

Open Report

Analysis workbooks

XLSX_ARCHIVE

These workbooks contain query results, closeout analysis, and supporting data behind the project reports and epoch-viewer summaries.

Study area	Workbook	Link
General history and reference	General History epoch summary workbook THE CRUCIBLE — General History Epoch Summary.xlsx	Download XLSX
Project 1 — Baseline query sets	Set A query results Project1_SetA_Query_Results.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Set B query results Project1_SetB_Query_Results.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Set C query results Project1_SetC_Query_Results.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Combined A/D/E query results Project1_SetADE_Query_Results.xlsx	Download XLSX
Project 2 — Competition	Project 2 query results workbook Crucible Project 2 Query Results.xlsx	Download XLSX
Project 3 — Evolution	Project 3 Phase 1 analysis workbook Crucible Project 3 Phase 1 Analysis.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Project 3 Phase 2 closeout workbook project3_phase2_closeout.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Project 3 final analysis data Project3_Final_Analysis_data.xlsx	Download XLSX
Project 4 — Bombs	Project 4 Phase 1 analysis data Project 4 Phase 1 Analysis Data.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Project 4 Phase 1 analysis data B Project 4 Phase 1 Analysis DataB.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Project 4 Phase 3 nuclear-only analysis data Project 4 Phase 3 Nuclear-Only Analysis Data.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Project 4 Phase 4 all-bombs analysis data Project 4 Phase 4 All-Bombs Analysis Data.xlsx	Download XLSX
Epilogue — Ares, collapse, and climate reservoir	Ares 181–190 persistent-table SQL query workbook ares_181_190_sql_queries_persistent_table.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Ares 191–200 network-collapse SQL query workbook ares_191_200_network_collapse_sql_queries.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Epilogue 201–210 80k SQL query workbook epilogue_201_210_80k_sql_queries.xlsx	Download XLSX
	Climate-reservoir 231–240 workbook climate_reservoir_231_240_workbook.xlsx	Download XLSX